Documents tagged "Cyclical"
Found 2 documents with this tag
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026572.txt
The J.P. Morgan View discusses how US elections have affected asset allocation, economic outlooks, and market risks. They believe that the equity market has priced out a Romney win scenario and that medium-term equities and credit are still overweight despite volatility caused by the fiscal cliff negotiations. The focus is on EM Asia, Cyclical stocks, and US Home builders for overweights in equities. Fixed income should see yields head higher with an emphasis on spread compression trades. They recommend being long the dollar during fiscal cliff negotiations and remaining medium-term overweight both credit and equities against cash, government debt, and commodities, as they do not think an Obama victory changes economic outlooks or risks significantly.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014460.txt
The European Equity Strategy report outlines key takeaways and predictions for the year ahead. Key topics include reflation, EPS growth, defensive vs cyclical rotation, political risk, valuation overhangs, ECB reversal on QE, and potential market highs. The report recommends a more balanced approach to investing and cautiousness regarding UK domestic Retail and Travel sectors. It predicts high single-digit upside for European equities, but also notes that politics could weigh near term. Additionally, the report suggests that modestly higher yields and higher equities are compatible as long as inflation breakevens do not fall.