Documents tagged "Strategy"
Found 10 documents with this tag
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030808.txt
The document discusses the US Balanced portfolio and its allocation across various asset classes such as equities, high yield, leveraged loans, structured credit, emerging market FX, core bonds, inflation, cash, private equity, real estate, and hedge funds. It highlights key factors affecting these allocations like healthy private sector profits, problems left over from the recession, interventions by world's legislatures, treasuries, central banks, and multilateral agencies. The document also compares the situation with ancient Greek gods, stating that we are getting closer to their twilight, a time when they may run out of ammunition or cause more problems. It mentions holding 10-15% less equities than usual at this point in the business cycle and positions for single-digit returns on equities.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026944.txt
The Investment Management Division document discusses the risks of a US-Iran military conflict and other geopolitical risks. It focuses on key people, places, and topics such as US policy on Iran, Iranian actions and current economic conditions, potential for US-Iranian military conflict, implications for the global oil market, external exogenous shocks, trade war with China or continued slowing growth in China, Brexit, auto tariffs, Russia, Middle East, North Korea, cyberattacks, terrorism, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) between Iran and P5+1, US sanctions on Iran, and recent key events in US-Iran relations. The document emphasizes the need for risk management strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on financial markets.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025797.txt
The document discusses US policy on Arab revolutions and features opinions from various experts, including Indyk, Feaver, Dannzinger, Kahl, Flornoy, Zelikow, Froman, Hadley, and Maghan O. The experts debate the effectiveness of past administrations' strategies in dealing with conflicts in Syria, Iraq, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia, as well as the challenges faced by current US leadership in addressing these issues. They highlight the importance of prioritizing national interests and effectively leveraging resources and alliances to manage complex situations in the Middle East.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025663.txt
This document discusses the current state of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology, with a focus on Bitcoin as an example. It outlines key aspects such as the cryptocurrency marketplace, how cryptocurrencies work, potential uses of blockchain technology, whether Bitcoin is a viable currency or asset, risks associated with cryptocurrencies, and different views on these topics from various parties such as governments and financial institutions. The document also includes charts and graphs illustrating Bitcoin's price history and market capitalization of other cryptocurrencies.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023069.txt
The document discusses the potential impacts of corporate tax reform on equity markets. It focuses on four key components that could have significant equity implications and assesses their impact at a market, sector, and industry level. The authors suggest that there could be a near-term boost to EPS but that the long-term impact would vary depending on the specific reforms implemented. They also discuss how cutting the corporate tax rate could add $8 to EPS and estimate that repatriation of overseas earnings could lead to buybacks that could boost EPS by 3%. The document is intended for Amanda Ens from BAML and unauthorized redistribution is prohibited.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016801.txt
The document is a capital market outlook from the Chief Investment Office, discussing topics such as macro strategy, global market views, and thought of the week. Paul Morris, Managing Director at Merrill Private Wealth Management, highlights key issues like Federal Reserve policy, global research and development spending, and gold's role as a diversifier in portfolios. The discussion covers the evolving concept of price stability, the potential acceleration of R&D spending due to the U.S.-China tech cold war, and recent tailwinds for gold's performance versus the US dollar.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016111.txt
The Saudi National Transformation Plan aims to diversify the economy away from oil but faces challenges in meeting ambitious targets and maintaining macro stability. The USD peg is likely to hold, but energy policy may need to become less aggressive to support FX policies. Large and regular sovereign Eurobond issuance is expected to weigh on regional bond spreads if risk appetite does not hold up or fiscal balance slips. The NTP suggestion that production capacity is maintained until 2020 reinforces the expectation of medium-term oil market tightness, but achieving a gas production target that could displace domestic crude demand and boost export capacity may be challenging.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014622.txt
The document is a summary of top US ideas for Q1, focusing on strategy and equity. The backdrop for risk assets has changed due to global interest rates reaching 5,000-year lows and the historical US Presidential election and Republican sweep of Congress in November 2016. OPEC reached a historic deal to reduce crude production by 1.2mn b/d with non-OPEC producers delivering an additional 600k b/d of cuts that same month, leading to risk assets responding positively. The current strategy stands in stark contrast to last year's focus on defensive growth ideas and is more heavily geared toward companies benefiting from increased fiscal stimulus, a pro-business agenda, and tax-policy reform. There are eight Buys and two Underperforms across six sectors listed, with updates planned at the beginning of each quarter unless coverage is dropped or recommendations change.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014460.txt
The European Equity Strategy report outlines key takeaways and predictions for the year ahead. Key topics include reflation, EPS growth, defensive vs cyclical rotation, political risk, valuation overhangs, ECB reversal on QE, and potential market highs. The report recommends a more balanced approach to investing and cautiousness regarding UK domestic Retail and Travel sectors. It predicts high single-digit upside for European equities, but also notes that politics could weigh near term. Additionally, the report suggests that modestly higher yields and higher equities are compatible as long as inflation breakevens do not fall.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014404.txt
The document is an investment strategy report focused on Japan. It predicts the Nikkei index will reach 20,000 by the end of 2017 due to bullish equities and a rotation into cyclicals, banks, and insurance. The upturn in inventory cycle and higher inflation are expected to drive this growth. The new Chief Japan Economist Izumi Devalier supports these predictions with forecasts of above-consensus GDP growth and inflation in 2017.